In the fall of 2022, parts of the U.S. government assessed that the risk of Russia using nuclear weapons in the Ukraine war had increased. However, nuclear weapons were not used. Why did Russia decide not to use nuclear weapons in the ” Fall Crisis of 2022″?
The essay by Dr. Ulrich Kühn in the journal Defense & Security Analysis systematically analyzes the most influential rationalist, normative, and institutionalist theories of nuclear non-use and discusses whether they can explain the practice observed in 2022. Special attention is paid to approaches to nuclear deterrence and international taboos. Based on the case study, Ulrich Kühn develops a multi-causal model for preventing the use of nuclear weapons.
Ulrich Kühn: The Fall Crisis of 2022: why did Russia not use nuclear arms? In: Defense & Security Analysis.
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